1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,320
好,我们来讲飞波拉系反推

2
00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:09,480
实际上飞波拉系反推和后面讲的斜波理论基本上是一模一样的

3
00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:11,520
只是取了参数不太一样

4
00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:14,840
那怎么用呢?其实没那么难啊,我们举个例子

5
00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:16,120
比如说这一支股票

6
00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,680
假设你现在是在这个位置

7
00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,240
跌回来开始第一波涨

8
00:00:21,240 --> 00:00:22,780
假设是这个位置

9
00:00:22,780 --> 00:00:26,120
那么你想知道它会涨到哪?

10
00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:27,400
有什么办法呢?

11
00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,600
第一个办法就是用支撑压力

12
00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:32,640
倒是理论支撑压力

13
00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:33,800
比如这个位置

14
00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:36,280
可能是它的第一个压力位

15
00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:39,240
这个位置也是一个压力位

16
00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:41,680
这个位置也是一个压力位

17
00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:44,720
你说22块5

18
00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:45,600
22块5

19
00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:47,080
27块5

20
00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:49,840
这些位置是它的压力位

21
00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:52,800
同时你也可以去飞波拉系

22
00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:57,320
把这一段作为基础

23
00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,560
然后来推它,反推

24
00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:01,160
我们就可以看到一些位置

25
00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:02,320
比如这个位置

26
00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:06,720
138%

27
00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:08,280
就是1.38的位置

28
00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:12,760
就是正好完美的压力位

29
00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,680
下一个位置1.61

30
00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,240
又是完美的压力位

31
00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:18,840
再下一个位置翻倍

32
00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,120
又是完美的压力位

33
00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:24,120
所以你把这一段拿过去

34
00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:25,960
你用这个方法来做

35
00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:27,560
那么就会找到三个位置

36
00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:28,560
这三个位置

37
00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,280
飞波拉系和压力是重合的

38
00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:32,600
好,我们来看

39
00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:34,640
事实上这个股票后来怎么样

40
00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:35,520
我们看一下

41
00:01:35,960 --> 00:01:38,680
它的这一个阶段的高点

42
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,440
就是完美的翻倍

43
00:01:41,960 --> 00:01:44,040
从这个位置开始打个翻倍

44
00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:48,200
然后再138%

45
00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:49,920
1.38这个位置

46
00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,960
就是做了一个完美的回调

47
00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,560
你看138%完美回调

48
00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:58,640
然后一口气拉到翻倍

49
00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:00,200
在1.61这个位置

50
00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:01,200
几乎没有压力

51
00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:02,560
这个位置没有压力

52
00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:04,200
一口气拉到这个上面的位置

53
00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:06,880
所以这个就是告诉我们什么呢

54
00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:08,920
假设你要买这个票

55
00:02:08,920 --> 00:02:10,040
你买在这了

56
00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,240
你买点在这

57
00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:14,080
就是你大概要计算

58
00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:15,360
什么地方你要出

59
00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:16,520
就是买点

60
00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:17,760
你要预估一下

61
00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:19,160
买点

62
00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,360
那么你怎么预估呢

63
00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:25,200
你就可以根据飞波拉器

64
00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,680
以及支撑压力来预估

65
00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:28,840
那么反推到这

66
00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:30,280
两倍三倍

67
00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:34,800
还有238%

68
00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:36,200
也就是2.38

69
00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,680
这些位置都是最强的压力预估

70
00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,440
反推出的卖点

71
00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:45,440
可以根据这个

72
00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,840
有些时候简直是一个点位都不差

73
00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:49,920
非常神奇

74
00:02:49,920 --> 00:02:51,200
你看这个地方就是

75
00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:52,320
基本上没有差

76
00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:53,080
你看是吧

77
00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:55,360
这个地方推出来非常的完美

78
00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:57,760
这地方推出来也是非常的完美

79
00:02:58,640 --> 00:02:58,920
好

80
00:02:58,920 --> 00:02:59,840
我们再看下一个

81
00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:01,240
好

82
00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:02,360
我们再举个例子

83
00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:04,200
比如这支票

84
00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:05,640
它虽然是一个小盘

85
00:03:05,640 --> 00:03:07,000
但是同样也有效

86
00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:09,000
它不是特别小

87
00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:10,440
它是互乘300的

88
00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:12,440
假设它现在开始突破这个区间

89
00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:13,280
开始涨

90
00:03:13,280 --> 00:03:16,040
那么我们就想知道能涨到哪

91
00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,560
那么怎么算来当一位神仙

92
00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:19,680
就取这一段

93
00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:20,720
为什么要取这一段

94
00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:21,000
好

95
00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:21,560
这个神仙说

96
00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:23,280
这个时候就运动波浪理论了

97
00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:24,240
为什么运动波浪理论

98
00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:25,880
你看大家数浪

99
00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:27,120
我们怎么数

100
00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:28,040
这一波

101
00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:29,040
低点

102
00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:30,000
低点

103
00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:31,200
只有这

104
00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:32,560
基本上和前面持平

105
00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:33,440
是吧

106
00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:34,800
到这来

107
00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:36,160
次低点出来了

108
00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:37,160
那么也就是说

109
00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:38,360
你要数波浪的时候是

110
00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,720
123

111
00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:43,720
比如说这有45

112
00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:45,280
是这样一个数量方式

113
00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:47,120
将来它会形成这么一个无浪模型

114
00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:47,960
是吧

115
00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:49,560
那么无浪模型的高点

116
00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:50,840
它最多涨到哪

117
00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:51,440
我们来看

118
00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:52,880
就是用这个

119
00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,160
拿到这一段

120
00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:56,880
就是拿这一段

121
00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:58,200
从这到这这一段

122
00:03:58,200 --> 00:03:59,840
然后来反推

123
00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:02,000
把这一段当成100%

124
00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:02,760
你看Base

125
00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:03,720
然后100%

126
00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:06,240
那么这然后反推出来

127
00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:07,960
首先200%

128
00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:08,680
翻倍

129
00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:10,160
在这翻倍

130
00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:11,600
这它能翻倍

131
00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:13,080
那么在这翻倍位置

132
00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:14,640
它是一个最重要的压力位

133
00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:15,560
我们再来看

134
00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:16,680
再往后看

135
00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:18,560
假设我们还不知道它以后怎么走

136
00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:20,160
我们就会看到很多的

137
00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,120
翻倍位置6.85

138
00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:23,880
是一个压力位

139
00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:24,640
还有

140
00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,000
百分之261

141
00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:28,200
就是2.6

142
00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,280
这个位置会是一个压力位

143
00:04:30,280 --> 00:04:33,840
这两个位置会是一个很大的压力位

144
00:04:33,840 --> 00:04:36,000
这个位置也是一个很大的压力位

145
00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:38,360
我们看结果它怎么走的呢

146
00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:40,440
结果非常神奇

147
00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:41,440
非常神奇

148
00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:43,400
它就是按照这个

149
00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:44,160
1

150
00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,480
从这来

151
00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:46,760
对

152
00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:48,720
1

153
00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:50,680
2

154
00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:51,840
3

155
00:04:51,840 --> 00:04:52,480
4

156
00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:52,880
5

157
00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:54,840
这么一个无脑模型走上去的

158
00:04:54,840 --> 00:04:56,960
最终它最重要的压力位

159
00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:58,760
就是百分之26.1

160
00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:01,080
这个位置它走了

161
00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:02,280
这个位置没有拉上去

162
00:05:02,280 --> 00:05:03,720
然后回抽

163
00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:04,840
中间在

164
00:05:04,840 --> 00:05:06,120
你翻倍的时候

165
00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:07,360
6.86的时候

166
00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:09,840
也是做了一些高位震荡

167
00:05:09,840 --> 00:05:11,200
还打下来了

168
00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:11,960
你想

169
00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:13,880
看是不是也是几乎是

170
00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:15,600
一个点位都不差的

171
00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:17,120
所以非常神奇

172
00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:17,440
好

173
00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:19,600
我们来看一下下一支票

174
00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:20,560
好

175
00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:22,840
后面我就不这么详细的就给大家说了

176
00:05:22,840 --> 00:05:23,760
我只是给大家举例子

177
00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:24,400
你看

178
00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:27,320
好多大牛骨都可以把它推出来

179
00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,120
把这个当成第一波

180
00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:30,160
一浪

181
00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:31,240
二浪

182
00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:32,080
三浪

183
00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:33,160
这是一个小平台

184
00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:34,320
四浪小平台

185
00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:35,360
五浪

186
00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:36,360
最终

187
00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:37,960
它是2.61

188
00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:39,560
其实这个地方应该是三倍了

189
00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:40,240
这个地方是三倍了

190
00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:40,960
只是它这个

191
00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:42,760
它这个3没有显现出来

192
00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:44,320
如果我们用这个

193
00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:45,880
我们用另外一个

194
00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:47,080
另外一个波浪模型

195
00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:47,680
波段线

196
00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:49,160
它就能够显示出3

197
00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:50,520
基本上我们试一下

198
00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:52,400
看如果用这个百分比线

199
00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:53,160
就33%

200
00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:54,400
就1%线

201
00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,320
把它看成1%线

202
00:05:57,320 --> 00:05:58,760
这一浪

203
00:05:58,760 --> 00:05:59,600
二浪

204
00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:00,600
三浪

205
00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:01,440
四浪

206
00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:02,280
五浪

207
00:06:02,280 --> 00:06:04,240
最后基本上是

208
00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:06,440
非常完美的

209
00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:08,160
打到了目标位

210
00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:09,920
从这开始

211
00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:11,960
这个把它当成1%线

212
00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:13,880
最后打到了目标位

213
00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:15,640
非常完美

214
00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,200
所以它有的就是特别完美

215
00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:19,800
我们再来看一下古指

216
00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:20,840
比如说

217
00:06:20,840 --> 00:06:23,480
假设你认为

218
00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:25,280
这一波行情会起来

219
00:06:25,280 --> 00:06:26,600
从这开始

220
00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:27,720
你认会起来

221
00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:29,920
然后将来有一个无浪模型

222
00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:31,240
那么我们两种方法

223
00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:33,600
一种方法找支撑压力

224
00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:35,000
那种方法是什么

225
00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,200
就是用飞波拉器反推

226
00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:40,120
推出它的高点和支撑压力

227
00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:41,120
好 你看

228
00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:44,120
我们如果把这一段

229
00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:45,840
看成是

230
00:06:45,840 --> 00:06:47,320
无浪模型的第一浪

231
00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:48,360
它二浪

232
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:50,160
它三浪

233
00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:51,200
它四浪

234
00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:52,680
那么我们就会推出

235
00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,360
最终完美的一个无浪模型

236
00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,280
就是在这个位置

237
00:06:58,280 --> 00:07:01,120
这个位置将形成最大的压力位

238
00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,960
在这也要有一个压力位

239
00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:06,080
这个位置也要有一个压力位

240
00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:09,400
然后这个位置也是一个小压力

241
00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:12,840
那么这和前面的支撑压力是符合的

242
00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:13,760
那么我们来看

243
00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:15,200
结果推出来的

244
00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:16,240
它是什么样子的

245
00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:17,080
好 来看

246
00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:19,480
我们可以看出

247
00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:22,480
结果用它这个方法推出来的

248
00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:24,880
3424这个点

249
00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:27,800
几乎和这个点是一模一样的

250
00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:31,240
就是你当时只知道这一段的情况下

251
00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:33,440
你最后就能够推出这个高点

252
00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:35,000
是不是很深呢

253
00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:36,880
它事实上有些时候

254
00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:38,960
它有用的时候就是这么有用

255
00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:40,680
但它没用的时候也很没用

256
00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:42,320
但它有用的时候特别有用

257
00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:45,600
而且这个地方也是走了一个小的无浪模型

258
00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:47,640
你看这走了一个箱体

259
00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:48,560
这你看

260
00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:54,280
12345

261
00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:58,600
或者是这样看也可以

262
00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,280
12345

263
00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:03,200
这样子更好一点

264
00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:05,520
好

265
00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:06,840
它既然回调了

266
00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:08,120
那么我们又做回调

267
00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:09,280
大家知道

268
00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:13,400
一段行情里面最重要的就是50%线

269
00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:16,200
50%线3143在这

270
00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:17,720
到了3143

271
00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:19,200
它可能形成反弹

272
00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:20,680
我们看看是不是呢

273
00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:21,120
好

274
00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:21,920
我们走

275
00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:22,880
走2

276
00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:25,560
到了你看3155

277
00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:26,800
它就形成了反弹

278
00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:28,360
它没有打到3143

279
00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,200
在3155这个位置

280
00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,160
就是这一波的反弹

281
00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:34,480
所以如果你用飞波大气

282
00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:36,040
你会发现很多时候

283
00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:38,640
谷指它相对来说是比较准确的

284
00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,240
它相对比较准确的

285
00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:40,760
好

286
00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:41,960
虽然后面反弹完了

287
00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:42,680
它又下来了

288
00:08:42,680 --> 00:08:44,960
但是它是另外一波走势了

289
00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:45,160
好

290
00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:45,960
我们再举个例子

291
00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:46,680
谷指的例子

292
00:08:46,680 --> 00:08:48,280
我们来举梅谷吧

293
00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:48,680
好

294
00:08:48,680 --> 00:08:50,320
我们看梅谷的这个例子

295
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:51,600
我们把从这到这

296
00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:52,880
这一段我们试着做

297
00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:54,400
它可能一个无浪模型

298
00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:55,160
这一浪

299
00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:55,960
二浪回调

300
00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:58,120
然后把这一段作为

301
00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:02,760
31.38.2%

302
00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:03,880
这个位置

303
00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:04,360
好

304
00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:06,080
那么我们反推过来

305
00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:07,960
这个阶段的高点是在这

306
00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,720
那么结果的的确确到了这个点

307
00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:12,080
加上前面压力位

308
00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:13,440
它就回调了一段时间

309
00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,000
但是没有最终冲破

310
00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:16,640
那么像这种情况怎么处理呢

311
00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:18,760
如果最终又突破了

312
00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:20,880
那么这个位置就不是一个

313
00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:26,480
0.386的这种位置了

314
00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:27,240
而是什么

315
00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:29,240
有可能是一个更小的位置

316
00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:30,480
那么我们把它缩小

317
00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:31,840
把它再往上拉

318
00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:33,160
就是有可能它这个

319
00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,000
它这个就是我们再拉小一点

320
00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:36,240
有可能更小的位置了

321
00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,720
好 结果我们把拉成0.191的位置

322
00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:42,640
我们看一下缩小

323
00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:43,280
看一看

324
00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,240
它的这些高低点符不符合

325
00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:46,200
回来

326
00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:48,760
这个其实有点就斜坡了

327
00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:50,440
它就是用斜坡的数字了

328
00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:52,400
那么结果它就不太符合了

329
00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:52,960
你看

330
00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:54,040
它就不太符合

331
00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:55,200
它的位置

332
00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:56,400
这一波的高点

333
00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:57,360
这个高点

334
00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,560
这个高点0.618

335
00:09:59,560 --> 00:10:00,640
这个是符合的

336
00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:02,000
这个高点和这个高点

337
00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:03,480
就不是特别的符合了

338
00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:04,760
不是特别的符合

339
00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:06,360
但是可以做一个参考

340
00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:07,320
它不完美

341
00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:08,480
但是可以做一个参考

342
00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:08,960
是吧

343
00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:10,680
把这一波的最大的幅度

344
00:10:10,680 --> 00:10:11,360
做一个参考

345
00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:14,600
好 我们再来举一些反推的例子

346
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:15,960
就是说你为什么

347
00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:17,360
这地方遇到无浪模型呢

348
00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:18,680
因为你首先要找波浪

349
00:10:18,680 --> 00:10:20,280
你要把第一浪找出来

350
00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:21,920
然后根据第一浪来反推

351
00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:23,160
那主要是这么一个逻辑

352
00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:24,920
像这个就特别难

353
00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:25,680
因为它这个第一浪

354
00:10:25,680 --> 00:10:26,600
你没有

355
00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:28,120
一波涨得很强

356
00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:29,800
它这才是一个大的回车

357
00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:30,920
那么所以我们

358
00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:32,080
我是我的话

359
00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:33,040
我一般的用

360
00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:34,400
把它作为第一浪

361
00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:37,280
但是我把它就作为50%的位置了

362
00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:38,600
我一般的是这样子

363
00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:40,080
把它就作为50%线

364
00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:42,360
好 你看

365
00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:43,120
大家看

366
00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:44,480
如果按照我的方法

367
00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:45,440
我刚才没有复盘

368
00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:46,400
我没有复盘

369
00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:47,840
如果按照我的方法

370
00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:49,280
因为它这波太强了

371
00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:51,880
把它作为一波强的回车

372
00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:54,720
然后把它作为50%来做

373
00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:57,160
那么结果我们推出来的高点是

374
00:10:57,160 --> 00:10:58,160
哎呀 这个点

375
00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:00,160
你看 结果这个点基本上

376
00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:01,320
基本上不差

377
00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:02,800
基本上很少差的

378
00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:04,720
在这也有一个压力回来了

379
00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:06,200
在这基本上不差

380
00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:07,920
是不是很神奇

381
00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:09,600
很多时候它是很神奇的

382
00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:10,280
那么基本上

383
00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:12,200
我不知道大家有没有掌握

384
00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,360
就是首先很简单

385
00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:16,120
就是你首先把它作为

386
00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,080
如果强的话作为1%

387
00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:19,520
我们现在找对称

388
00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:20,920
如果不强的话

389
00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:22,200
如果比较弱的话

390
00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:23,640
你把它作为1%

391
00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:24,920
或者是0.618

392
00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:26,120
0.382

393
00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:27,280
那么这样来找

394
00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,480
我这样子的一一波一波的来找

395
00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,760
有些时候它是比较准确的

396
00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:33,280
好 那我们就说实战

397
00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:34,440
那么实战里面

398
00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:35,440
那么比如说现在

399
00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:37,080
我们就知道现在来说

400
00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,200
那么现在这一波有没有

401
00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,240
那这一波你要看日线还没有

402
00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:41,760
为什么

403
00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:43,640
它日线一个回调都没有 是吧

404
00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:44,960
它如果有一个回调了

405
00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:46,040
那么我们根据这个回调

406
00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:47,800
我们又可以去测算这个高点

407
00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:48,640
它现在没有

408
00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:49,440
那没有怎么办

409
00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:53,280
我是把这一波看成是一个高点

410
00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:54,800
然后回抽在这儿

411
00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:56,560
然后去推它这个

412
00:11:56,560 --> 00:11:57,440
推它这个

413
00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:00,360
然后推出这么一个N字平衡的一个点

414
00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:02,000
那么如果我是这样推出来的话

415
00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:02,840
那我们来试一下

416
00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:04,480
如果按照我这个方法来推的话

417
00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:05,960
如果它要上涨的话

418
00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:07,760
把它作为1%

419
00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:09,000
我们来试一下

420
00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:10,480
放小一点

421
00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:12,200
好 大家可以看到

422
00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:13,640
这个位置

423
00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:15,960
4089是50%

424
00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:18,000
就是把它作为50%

425
00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:19,400
那么回抽之后

426
00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:20,720
将来的高点

427
00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,080
将是大概的这个位置

428
00:12:23,080 --> 00:12:24,920
这个位置是它最终的目标点

429
00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:26,080
那不一定达到

430
00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:27,560
然后在这些位置

431
00:12:27,560 --> 00:12:29,440
这些位置也果然就是它的压力位

432
00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:30,000
是吧

433
00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:32,480
它可能会有一些反复的一些盘整

434
00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:33,400
4220

435
00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:37,840
所以我们如果就是假设它会这样子涨的话

436
00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,040
那么这些位置是它的终极目标位

437
00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:42,160
我们就把终极目标位能够算出来

438
00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:43,880
那么它如果不回调的话呢

439
00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:44,840
那么不回调的话

440
00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:45,480
也就是说

441
00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:47,480
如果这边它是个走了形态

442
00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:48,400
上不去了

443
00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:49,120
不突破

444
00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:51,080
那么不突破这边它波浪没效吗

445
00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:52,680
那波浪没有效就不能用波浪了

446
00:12:52,680 --> 00:12:53,040
是吧

447
00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:54,400
那么这边它就不能用波浪了

448
00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:56,040
那么就用形态学的方法

449
00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:57,760
再来再继续做就行了

450
00:12:57,760 --> 00:13:00,040
它波浪有效是因为它有趋势

451
00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:01,320
它出现了趋势

452
00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:02,360
我们可以用波浪

453
00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:04,760
它没有出现趋势

454
00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:05,960
它出现了趋势

455
00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:07,000
我们可以用波浪

456
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:08,160
它没有出现趋势

457
00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:09,280
那就没办法

458
00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:09,440
好

459
00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:11,600
我们再来举一个小例子

460
00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,000
然后你们就自己去复盘

461
00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:13,720
比如这一段

462
00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:14,400
假设这一段

463
00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:15,040
你看

464
00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:16,640
这个往下跌也是这样子的

465
00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:18,200
你看往下跌

466
00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:21,920
那么我们想知道它什么时候能够跌到头

467
00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:22,960
也是这样子的

468
00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:24,280
我们可以把这个

469
00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:24,560
好

470
00:13:24,560 --> 00:13:25,680
从这开始

471
00:13:25,680 --> 00:13:27,840
假设把它第一波回撤

472
00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:28,080
好

473
00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:31,080
如果我们把这第一波回撤

474
00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:36,040
从这看成它的0.318的话

475
00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:37,680
那么目标位应该到这

476
00:13:37,680 --> 00:13:38,800
那么事实上到这

477
00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:40,440
它没有

478
00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:41,880
没有支撑

479
00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:43,720
没有获得支撑

480
00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:45,200
还继续往下跌

481
00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:47,080
那么如果继续往下跌

482
00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,040
我们就把这个继续往下压

483
00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:49,960
往下拉

484
00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:55,480
就相当于它是它的1.97的位置

485
00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,560
0.197 20%的位置

486
00:13:58,560 --> 00:14:01,520
但是个20%的位置推出来的话

487
00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:03,520
结果也不是特别准确

488
00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:05,160
它要推到这个位置来了

489
00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:07,200
推到这个很低的位置来了

490
00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,200
但是这是就是仅供一个参考

491
00:14:09,200 --> 00:14:10,040
就一句话说

492
00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:11,920
这东西它不可能百分之百的准确

493
00:14:11,920 --> 00:14:13,560
我们就把它作为一个参考

494
00:14:13,560 --> 00:14:15,760
那如果

495
00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:19,440
没有到这个位置出现了这么一根大阳线

496
00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:21,400
那么我们还是要去做

497
00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:25,200
如果没有到这个位置出现一根大阳线

498
00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:27,920
那我们肯定还是要去做的

499
00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:28,920
还是要去做的

500
00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:33,120
就是这个东西就是给一个参考

501
00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,760
就是下一集我们会讲

502
00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,400
把这些东西都揉起来

503
00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:39,680
把东西都揉起来

504
00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:40,760
我们一起来看一下

505
00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:42,040
大概就这样子

506
00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:43,160
大家自己去推吧

507
00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:44,920
我这个嗓子还是不太好

508
00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:45,920
说的

509
00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:49,560
这一集可能讲的特别痒

510
00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:50,440
不好意思

511
00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,040
有些时候说话怪怪的

512
00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:53,040
大家理解