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各位会员好

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今天我们来讲一讲波浪理论

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我认为最有用的最有价值的

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就是它的正推回调点和反推最高点

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那么正推回调点

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首先我们上一期

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我们说有几个数字

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就是菲波拉契数字

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是哪两组数字

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第一个就是菲波拉契

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菲波拉契是0.618

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以0.618相对的是0.382

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还有一个数字是0.5

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0.5就是折中1%

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线

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然后还有一个百分比线

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那么百分比线

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那并不是菲波拉契数字

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江恩他讲过

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用最早的书里面讲百分比线

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是江恩的

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它叫做什么

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1%线

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1%线

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2%线

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江恩叫做百分比线

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事实上经过我长期的实盘

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有些时候是百分比线

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有些时候是菲波拉契线

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该怎么办

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我个人认为就在百分比线

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和菲波拉契线的区间

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也就是说在0.33

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和0.382之间的区间

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它可能有一个上下出入

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它会形成一个所谓的支撑

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一个反转

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好

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那么是个什么意思

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也就是说假设你有一波行情

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再开始第一波

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开始上涨

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那么一个行情上涨

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它一定是有回调的

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是吧

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那么我们它回调到什么地方

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我们就认为它可能回调到

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第一个就是有支撑压力

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是吧

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假设左边这边有一堆盘枕支撑压力

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那么它可能回调到支撑压力

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如果左边没有支撑压力怎么办

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那么它就有可能回调到0.382

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或者回调到0.33

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或者到0.382和0.33

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这个区间

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之间的区间

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我们就在这个区间

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去怎么样

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找它关键的k线

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比如你这一段是15分钟k线

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那么你可以在这个区间去找1分钟k线

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是吧

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找找1分钟k线

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它的信号

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比如说有没有大阳线

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有没有韵线

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有没有我们讲过的那些标志

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好

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那么一般的一个行情

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特别是第一波

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它不会给你跌到0.382的

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为什么

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一般的行情的第一波

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它都会遇到阻力

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为什么

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大家不知道

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所以一般的第一波都是50%

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或者是甚至是0.618的位置

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它会回到这来

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然后第二波反弹上去

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第二波之后的一个回调

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它一般的是0.33或者0.382

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然后第三波再上去

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所以这1 2 3 4 5

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这个五浪模型里面

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第一个浪

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也就是说浪一浪二

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浪二回撤的时候

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一般的是50%

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或者是0.618

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然后3 4第4浪回调的时候

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因为这个趋势已经上去了

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所以第4浪回调的时候

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它就比较短了

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有可能是0.33 0.382

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然后第5浪

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一个加速浪就上去了

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所以它波浪理论就是这么用的

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就是你每次去算它

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先用第一浪

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第二浪

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你们去用50% 0.618回调点

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然后第4浪的时候

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你会去用0.333

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或者是0.382

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你去计算它的回调点

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然后再结合支撑压力

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好 就是这样子

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那么实际上

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很多时候它会有复杂的一个情况

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比如说这儿

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它不一定走得这么完美

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它可能在这儿

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比如说它走的一些结构

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走一个小的一个通道

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是吧

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那么还有这个地方

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它有可能是走了一个三角形

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比如说

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是吧

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所以说这每一波

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它的这些低点

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这些通道的低点

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我们也可以用我们的这两个数据去算

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等会我教大家去算

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好 那么如果无浪模型走完了

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它要干嘛

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要ABC回调了

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ABC回调了

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那么这个时候

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我们就把它和它连起来

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看成一整段

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那么ABC回调

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它会回调到哪儿

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这一整段的什么

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50%

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或者是0.618

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或者是0.382

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我们又在这些地方来找

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它的回调点

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好 跟具体的比较抽象

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我们马上去看案例就可以了